Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 119.638340 137.670734 158.563658 184.817552 217.294858 256.649540 3.087243e+02
2025-03-30 91.875740 113.194932 140.387889 178.488336 231.980928 306.871003 4.245100e+02
2025-04-06 79.177598 102.000042 133.041730 179.979858 252.336046 365.804064 5.720102e+02
2025-04-13 69.895900 93.070425 126.154721 179.244709 267.532738 420.054881 7.366912e+02
2025-04-20 65.166784 89.487876 125.834161 187.628601 298.556333 510.817923 1.023049e+03
2025-04-27 62.565326 88.470352 128.929832 201.776162 343.242855 645.580630 1.515526e+03
2025-05-04 57.425630 82.808996 123.654266 200.173263 357.362856 722.241700 1.932145e+03
2025-05-11 53.744507 78.974340 120.765072 202.190762 379.285665 827.872169 2.575165e+03
2025-05-18 49.814440 74.282171 115.743408 199.103889 389.085619 907.403445 3.246586e+03
2025-05-25 47.211645 71.518840 113.733859 201.588049 412.615232 1040.439269 4.452168e+03
2025-06-01 44.430986 68.171824 110.239967 200.328224 426.584885 1153.071018 5.870790e+03
2025-06-08 41.640149 64.557450 105.839792 196.366361 432.450727 1242.715639 7.471546e+03
2025-06-15 40.210079 63.456856 106.534383 204.992695 479.672179 1547.532790 1.326846e+04
2025-06-22 37.179817 59.237017 100.740814 197.786478 479.002899 1655.635788 1.808913e+04
2025-06-29 35.377631 57.096775 98.823910 199.498704 507.234219 1941.309562 3.208727e+04
2025-07-06 33.530287 54.700560 96.090511 198.654073 527.102176 2216.136538 5.803446e+04
2025-07-13 32.747028 54.242024 97.326870 208.296874 589.127461 2876.357067 2.004369e+05
2025-07-20 32.489477 54.764242 100.719808 224.617645 687.436894 4105.060313 3.522533e+06
2025-07-27 30.934353 52.583032 97.875915 222.765509 709.786248 4735.444200 5.234379e+08
2025-08-03 29.791658 51.138570 96.537014 225.096835 753.208127 5798.343227 NaN
2025-08-10 28.372664 49.025823 93.439510 221.530280 767.241898 6571.284434 NaN
2025-08-17 27.449585 47.866796 92.456583 224.400242 816.684387 8236.365718 NaN
2025-08-24 26.349398 46.260557 90.247601 222.944532 843.000555 9728.366017 NaN